The Indiana Fever (18-16) has endured a difficult season without Caitlin Clark. They have had some highs, such as the five-game winning streak from late July to early August. But a 1-4 record since then has dented their playoff hopes. They are still holding on to the seventh spot, somehow.
On the other hand, the Connecticut Sun (6-26) has been as below-par as expected. The team with the worst record has improved, but remains the punching bag like the Chicago Sky.
The Sun broke their five-game losing streak against the Sky, but they will be up for a challenge here. Can they upset the Clark-less Fever? Find my favorite Same Game Parlay here.
Kelsey Mitchell: Points
Mitchell has been one of the best shot-creators in the W this season. Mitchell has maintained the average of about 20 points per game (19.9 PPG, currently), on an impressive 44.9% clip.
The Fever guard has contributed 23 or more in four of the last seven games (Being in the 9-14 range during the rest).
She has had some tough nights lately, but I back her to score at least 19 against the vulnerable Sun defense.
Mitchell O 18.5 Points
Picks | BetMGM Odds |
Kelsey Mitchell: 18+ Points | Undefined (Projected -120) |
Mabrey: 12+ Points | Undefined (Projected -130) |
Boston O 5.5 Rebounds | Undefined (Projected -160) |
Spread: Fever -6.5 | -118 |
Marina Mabrey: Points
Mabrey is one of the streakiest players in the league. Placing any bet for “Over” and “Under” can be tricky in her case. She is averaging 14.3 PPG but has scored just 13 total points in the last two games.
I think she is due for a much better performance. Mabrey recently scored 18 or more in four out of five games. I see her scoring at least 13 here.
Mabrey O 12.5 Points
Aliyah Boston: Rebounds
Boston is one of the best rebounders in the league since her arrival. She has averaged 8.2 rebounds per game this season, good enough for the fifth rank in that regard.
Boston has pinned down 9 rebounds in three of the last five contests. Expecting her to gather at least 6 boards against an inefficient offense is within the realm.
Boston O 5.5 Rebounds
The Fever holds a 2-1 advantage in the season series against the Sun. Connecticut’s only win came way back in late May.
At any rate, it isn’t like Indiana is doing any better since then except for a few spurts, but they have more firepower.
The Sun has been much more competitive than before, and 20+ points blowouts are not the norm now. However, they have still lost most games by 7+ points. Thus, I expect the Fever to cover that spread
Sun vs Fever Spread: Fever -6.5 for -118 at BetMGM
These picks appear a little tricky. The trickiest ones are the Mabrey and Mitchell ones. The Mabrey Experience is always like that.
She can nail four triples in a row and then go the whole game without one despite 5+ attempts. But her game log suggests she is due for one of the big scoring nights, which will end up in defeat.
The Boston pick is by far the safest. The Spread pick makes sense considering the difference in talent here.
Sun vs Fever SGP: Mitchell O 18.5 Points, Mabrey O 12.5 Points, Boston O 5.5 Rebounds, and Fever -6.5 for +230 at BetMGM
Photo Credit: Mark Smith-Imagn Images
Hi, I am Shubham. I am currently an NBA Predictions Writer on The Playoffs. I enjoy this job because it helps keep me in the loop about the game I love while fulfilling the pleasure I derive from stats. I got into NBA writing through social media interactions in the mid-2010s as I shared my takes on young talents such as D’Angelo Russell. I hope you enjoy reading my pieces as much as Dennis Rodman loved rebounding the basketball!
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