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Phoenix Mercury vs Indiana Fever WNBA Prediction & Best Bets- 09/02/2025

Shubham Singh
Basketball / NBA W
03/09/2025 – 03:00
Phoenix Mercury W
VS
03:00
03/09/2025
Indiana Fever W
Odds updated on September 1, 2025 at 2:52 pm

On Saturday, August 30, the Phoenix Mercury (25-14) will host the Indiana Fever (21-19) in a WNBA regular-season match-up. 

The Mercury comes into this game after an impressive 80-63 win over the New York Liberty. Kahleah Copper hit five triples en route to a 22-point performance. The Mercury is now fourth in the standings.

On the other hand, the Fever had a disappointing 63-75 loss against the Golden State Valkyries. Aerial Powers led with 17, but the team shot an abysmal 33.3% from the field.

The Fever slipped to the 8th position but has a decent hold over the playoff spot. 

Can the Mercury give a big jolt to the Fever here? Go through the predictions related to player props, total, and spread here. 

Where to Watch Phoenix Mercury vs Indiana Fever

  • Time: 10:00 PM (ET) 
  • Venue: Footprint Center, Phoenix
  • Where to watch: Catch the action on WNBA League Pass.

Phoenix Mercury vs Indiana Fever Lineups, News, Form

Indiana Fever

The Fever has suffered adversity throughout the season. As if losing Caitlin Clark wasn’t enough, the team has been without other key players who are out for the season.

The fact that they are still in the playoff race speaks volumes about their fighting spirit. Here are some facts about them:

  • The Fever is 13-13 without Caitlin Clark.
  • Odyssey Sims has dished 5 or more assists in four of the last six games.
  • Aerial Powers has averaged 6 rebounds per game in four games for Indiana.

Fever Expected Starting Lineup

PG: Odyssey Sims | SG: Kelsey Mitchell | SG/SF: Lexie Hull | PF: Natasha Howard |  C: Aliyah Boston

Key bench players: PF: Brianna Turner, SG/SF: Aerial Powers, PG: Shey Peddy

Injuries/Updates: Caitlin Clark is LIKELY to be OUT. Chloe Bibby’s status is UNCLEAR. Sophie Cunningham, Sydney Colson, and Aari McDonald are OUT for the season.

Phoenix Mercury

The Mercury has found their way after a relatively lean period. They are on a four-game winning streak and have won six out of their last seven games.

The Alyssa Thomas-led squad can be a serious challenger in the postseason. Here are some stats about them: 

  • The Mercury is 14-6 at home.
  • Satou Sabally has grabbed fewer than 4 rebounds in three straight games.
  • Natasha Mack has grabbed 10 or more rebounds in three of the last five games.

Mercury Expected Starting Lineup

PG: Monique Akoa Makani | SG: Kahleah Copper | SF/PF: Alyssa Thomas | PF: Natasha Mack | PF/C: Satou Sabally 

Key bench players: SF: Kathryn Westbeld, SF: DeWanna Bonner, SF: Sami Whitcomb 

Injuries/Updates: All fit and fine thus far.

Phoenix Mercury vs Indiana Fever Total Over/Under Prediction- WNBA Best Bets

The Mercury usually scored in the early 80s and has the defense to contain teams under 80, too. Lately, they have engaged in more high scorers than before.

On the other hand, the Fever are up and down. They have restricted teams to 75 or fewer in three straight games, including the high-scoring Sparks.

Before that, they had given up 90+ in three straight games. Their scoring has been inconsistent, too, but they mostly get past the 80 mark, especially when Kelsey Mitchell is cooking.

At any rate, I see a high-scoring battle here.

Total: Over 162.5  at BetMGM

Here is an overview of my selections

PicksBetMGM Odds 
Total O 162.5TBD
Spread- Mercury -5.5 (Projected)TBD
Alyssa Thomas O 9.5 ReboundsTBD
Money Line- MercuryTBD

Phoenix Mercury vs Indiana Fever Player Props Predictions- WNBA Betting Picks

Alyssa Thomas O 9.5 Rebounds: AT is one of the best rebounders in W’s history. She is averaging 8.9 RPG and has grabbed 10 rebounds in four of the last seven games. I see her hitting the mark again.

Aliyah Boston O 14.5 Points: Boston is enjoying a fantastic season, tallying 15.4 PPG. She has scored at least 15 in three of the last five games. I see her breaching that mark again.

Kahleah Copper O 16.5 Points: The Mercury guard has been a tremendous scorer, averaging 16.3 PPG. She has scored 18 or more in three straight games. I see her continuing the trend.

Main pick: Alyssa Thomas O 9.5 Rebounds at BetMGM

Phoenix Mercury vs Indiana Fever Spread Prediction

The Mercury are peaking at the right time with the playoffs around the corner. They are amazing at home and have multiple players who can take over the offense. Their defense is stellar, too.

Meanwhile, the Fever can’t catch a break with injuries, and the fatigue is showing. However, they are a resilient group who know how to defy odds.

But I don’t think they will be able to flip the script here. I see Mercury covering the spread here.

Spread/Money Line Pick:  Spread: Mercury -5.5 (Projected) at BetMGM

Photo Credit: Patrick Breen-Imagn Images

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Hi, I am Shubham. I am currently an NBA Predictions Writer on The Playoffs. I enjoy this job because it helps keep me in the loop about the game I love while fulfilling the pleasure I derive from stats. I got into NBA writing through social media interactions in the mid-2010s as I shared my takes on young talents such as D’Angelo Russell. I hope you enjoy reading my pieces as much as Dennis Rodman loved rebounding the basketball!

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