Sports
Picks & Odds
Betting Guide
Casinos
Gambling is prohibited for underage individuals | Commercial content | Regional restrictions may apply | T&Cs apply | Play responsibly

Los Angeles Sparks vs Phoenix Mercury WNBA Prediction & Best Bets- 08/26/2025

Shubham Singh
Basketball / NBA W
27/08/2025 – 03:00
Los Angeles Sparks W
VS
03:00
27/08/2025
Phoenix Mercury W
Odds updated on August 25, 2025 at 3:04 pm

On Tuesday, August 25, the Los Angeles Sparks (17-18) will host the Phoenix Mercury (22-14) in a WNBA regular-season match-up. 

The Sparks enter the match-up after a thrilling 81-80 win over the Dallas Wings. Kelsey Plum nailed the game-winning jumper.

Rickea Jackson’s 25-point effort helped Sparks survive Paige Bueckers’ 44-point blitz. The Sparks are ninth in the standings after the win.

On the other hand, the Mercury defeated the Golden State Valkyries 81-72. Alyssa Thomas’ sixth triple-double and Monique Akoa Makani’s 16-point night played a huge role, too.

The Mercury is currently 4th in the standings.

Can the Sparks get the job done against the pesky Mercury? Check the predictions related to player props, total, and spread here. 

Where to Watch Los Angeles Sparks vs Phoenix Mercury

  • Time: 10:00 PM (ET) 
  • Venue: Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles
  • Where to watch: Catch the action on WNBA League Pass.

Los Angeles Sparks vs Phoenix Mercury Lineups, News, Form

Los Angeles Sparks

The Sparks revived their campaign through an 8-1 period. They are 3-3 since then. The team is offensively loaded but way too vulnerable on defense. Here are some facts about them:

  • The Sparks are 7-10 at home.
  • Julie Allemand has dished 7 or more assists in five of last eight games.
  • Dearica Hamby has scored 19 or more in five of the last seven games.

Sparks Expected Starting Lineup

PG: Julie Allemand | PG/SG: Kelsey Plum | SF: Rickea Jackson | PF: Dearica Hamby | C: Azure Stevens

Key bench players: PF: Cameron Brink, SG: Rae Burrell, PG: Julie Vanloo.

Injuries/Updates: All fit and fine thus far.

Phoenix Mercury

The Mercury has not stamped big winning streaks, but is one of the most loaded teams. Their defense is solid, but the offense needs much more work. Here are some highlights about them:

  • The Mercury are 10-8 away from home.
  • Kahleah Copper has made at least 2 triples in four of the last five games.
  • Satou Sabally has scored 15 or fewer in three of the last four games.

Mercury Expected Starting Lineup

PG: Monique Akoa Makani SG: Kahleah Copper | SF/PF: Alyssa Thomas | PF: Natasha Mack | PF/C: Satou Sabally 

Key bench players: SF: Kathryn Westbeld, SF: DeWanna Bonner, SF: Sami Whitcomb 

Injuries/Updates: All fit and fine thus far.

Los Angeles Sparks vs Phoenix Mercury Total Over/Under Prediction- WNBA Best Bets

The Sparks have been the best offensive unit this month. They have scored 90+ and even 100+ on numerous occasions. However, they are prone to concede these many on the end as well.

On the other hand, the Mercury are more defensive-focused. They have restricted teams to below 80 on many occasions but lately, they have preferred more high-scoring battles.

Phoenix’s offense can be a bit hot and cold. They usually score in early 80s.

Overall, the Sparks love high-scoring classics and this can be another one of those. So, I might be wise to choose “Over” here.

Total: Over 177.5 at BetMGM

Here is an overview of my selections

PicksBetMGM Odds 
Total O 177.5-110
Spread- Sparks +3.5 -110
Kelsey Plum O 20.5 Points+100
Money Line- Sparks+150

Los Angeles Sparks vs Phoenix Mercury Player Props Predictions- WNBA Betting Picks

Alyssa Thomas O 8.5 Rebounds: At has continued to be one of the most consistent rebounders in the league. She has pinned down at least 9 rebounds in four straight games. I see her nail at least 9 again.

Kelsey Plum O 20.5 Points: The Sparks’ leading scorer is averaging an astounding 20.4 PPG. She has tallied at least 20 in five straight games. I see another 20+ points masterpiece loading.

Rickea Jackson O 15.5 Points: Jackson is putting up 14.7 PPG but her production has been much more elevated. Jackson has scored at least 15 in four straight games. I see her booking at least 16 points here.

Main pick: Kelsey Plum O 20.5 Points for +100 at BetMGM

Los Angeles Sparks vs Phoenix Mercury Spread Prediction

The Sparks have the ability to beat any team, but the lack of defensive discipline can hurt against such teams. The Mercury lost the plot some time ago but seems to be figuring it out.

LA has struggled at home way more than they should which could open a window for Phoenix. But I see the Sparks playing stable basketball on both ends.

I see the duo of Plum and Jackson propelling their team to a much-needed win and cover the spread.

Photo Credit: Kevin Jairaj-Imagn Images

nba nba

Hi, I am Shubham. I am currently an NBA Predictions Writer on The Playoffs. I enjoy this job because it helps keep me in the loop about the game I love while fulfilling the pleasure I derive from stats. I got into NBA writing through social media interactions in the mid-2010s as I shared my takes on young talents such as D’Angelo Russell. I hope you enjoy reading my pieces as much as Dennis Rodman loved rebounding the basketball!

Read more