Which gladiator will capture the title and the World No. 1 ranking?
Super Sunday; Arthur Ashe Stadium; 2:00 PM – Jannik Sinner and Carlos Alcaraz will return to the battlefield in the grand final of the 2025 US Open. There will be massive stakes for this clash between the two best players in our sport, with the winner leaving New York with the World No. 1 ranking. Bring out the popcorn, as the Spanish bull with fire in his blood squares up against the Italian beast with ice in his veins. Who will emerge victorious? Let’s preview this supremely exciting clash, as well as the BetMGM best odds.
The greatest rivalry that the sport has to offer by a distance, Jannik Sinner and Carlos have already scripted several illustrious chapters in tennis history. Having met in the Cincinnati Open final merely three weeks ago, Sinner’s retirement was a warning that something bigger was brewing. Currently in the form of their lives, the duo will meet for the third consecutive Grand Slam final. While Alcaraz retained his crown at Roland Garros, Sinner dethroned him at the Wimbledon Championships.
The 22-year-old is on an unimaginable streak of eight consecutive tour-level finals. Into his first hard court major summit clash since the 2022 US Open, Alcaraz has not dropped a single set en route to the final. His wins over Opelka, Bellucci, Darderi, Rinderknech, Lehecka and Djokovic have set up a dream ending for fans around the world. Currently ranked No. 2 in the world, Alcaraz has won over 86% service games on hard courts this year – he has won 6 trophies in 2025.
Top seed Jannik Sinner is on a 27-match winning run in hard court Grand Slams, and has won 71 out of 75 matches on this surface since last year. The 24-year-old Italian is aiming to become the first man since Roger Federer between 2004 and 2008, to retain the championship at Flushing Meadows. Heading into this match with a winning ratio of 90% this year, Sinner will look to exact revenge for the Cincinnati Masters final which was cut short. He has beaten Kopriva, Popyrin, Shapovalov, Bublik, Musetti and Auger-Aliassime en route to the marquee clash.
Alcaraz leads the head-to-head against Sinner by 9-5. Their most recent duel was at the 2025 Cincinnati Masters final – where Sinner retired midway.
Sinner and Alcaraz have played out some thrilling encounters in the past. Possibly the most noteworthy of these, was the Roland Garros title determinant in 2025. The US Open final will be their sixth meeting at the majors – with the Spaniard holding a slight advantage of 3-2 so far. It will also be their fifth match-up in 2025 alone.
| Event | Round | Winner | Score |
| 2025 Cincinnati | Final | Carlos Alcaraz | 5-0 RET. |
| 2025 Wimbledon | Final | Jannik Sinner | 4-6 6-4 6-4 6-4 |
| 2025 Roland Garros | Final | Carlos Alcaraz | 4-6 6-7(4) 6-4 7-6(3) 7-6(2) |
| 2025 Rome | Final | Carlos Alcaraz | 7-6(5) 6-1 |
| 2024 Beijing | Final | Carlos Alcaraz | 6-7(6) 6-4 7-6(3) |
| 2024 Roland Garros | Semifinal | Carlos Alcaraz | 2-6 6-3 3-6 6-4 6-3 |
| 2024 Indian Wells | Semifinal | Carlos Alcaraz | 1-6 6-3 6-2 |
| 2023 Beijing | Semifinal | Jannik Sinner | 7-6(4) 6-1 |
| 2023 Miami | Semifinal | Jannik Sinner | 6-7(4) 6-4 6-2 |
| 2023 Indian Wells | Semifinal | Carlos Alcaraz | 7-6(4) 6-3 |
| 2022 US Open | Quarterfinal | Carlos Alcaraz | 6-3 6-7(7) 6-7(0) 7-5 6-3 |
| 2022 Umag | Final | Jannik Sinner | 6-7(5) 6-1 6-1 |
| 2022 Wimbledon | Round of 16 | Jannik Sinner | 6-1 6-4 6-7(8) 6-3 |
| 2021 Paris Masters | Round of 32 | Carlos Alcaraz | 7-6(1) 7-5 |
| Jannik Sinner | Category | Carlos Alcaraz |
| 1 | Current Ranking | 2 |
| 300-84 | Career W-L Record | 269-62 |
| 37-4 | YTD W-L Record | 60-6 |
| 20 | Career Titles | 22 |
| 2 | YTD Titles | 6 |
| 4 | Grand Slams | 5 |
As always, the extremely minute details will decide the winner of this match. Both Sinner and Alcaraz have been striking the ball fearlessly, and generating immense depth on their groundstrokes. Against Djokovic, the Spaniard was able to engage in gruesome rallies and change direction with aplomb. According to the 24-time Grand Slam champion’s own admissions, Alcaraz showed no signs of gassing out. Meanwhile, Sinner has shown signs of niggles as well as fatigue. While he can outhit most opposition on the ATP Tour, Alcaraz is different gravy.
Prediction: Carlos Alcaraz in four sets.
The odds are evenly spread for the US Open 2025 final between Jannik Sinner and Carlos Alcaraz. The Italian holds a very narrow 51-49 edge in terms of the pre-match money line predictions. However, the odds market is anticipating a four or five set battle between the two warriors. Take a look at all the odds (as per BetMGM):
(According to BetMGM: BetMGM offers exclusive promo codes, bonus deals and accurate odds for users upon signing up. Use BetMGM to ace your betting game in all sports!)
(Image Credits: Phil Didion, Imagn Images)
