Beatriz Haddad Maia faces resilient Renata Zarazua in Sao Paulo quarterfinals
Beatriz Haddad Maia will meet Renata Zarazua in the quarterfinals of the Sao Paulo Open. Both players have arrived in sharp form, as Bia eased past Miriana Tona and Laura Pigossi, while Zarazua stunned Luiza Fullana and Berfu Cengiz in straight sets.
For Haddad Maia, 2025 has been a mixed singles campaign. A semifinal run in Strasbourg and a quarterfinal in Bad Homburg stand out, but there have also been frustrating early exits. Her US Open ended in the fourth round at the hands of Amanda Anisimova. Still, the stats, per WTA, underline her power-driven game with 92 aces in 35 matches, a 63.9% first-serve points won rate, and 39.9% on break point conversions. Where she has truly shone, though, is in doubles. Teaming up with Laura Siegemund, she captured the Nottingham title and continues to thrive in that format.
Zarazua comes in with a giant-slaying credential of her own, having knocked out sixth seed Madison Keys at the US Open. Though consistency has eluded her in singles, most runs ending in the first or second round, she has pushed big names like Elena Rybakina and Ajla Tomljanovic to three sets in recent months, at Cincinnati and Monterrey, respectively. Statistically, per WTA, she has 55.9% of first-serve points won, a strong 50% conversion rate on break opportunities, and 21 aces across 23 main-draw matches.
Beatriz Haddad Maia technically holds a 2-0 edge over Renata Zarazua, but the head-to-head tells a more complicated story. Their first clash came in the 2019 Bogota qualifiers, where Bia claimed a straightforward win. Two years later in Macon, they met again in the quarterfinals, but that encounter ended prematurely, with Zarazua retiring at 0-3 for undisclosed reasons. The result went down as another win for Bia, though they had just one proper battle.
| Year | Event | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | Macon | Quarterfinals | Beatriz Haddad Maia | 0-3, Ret. |
| 2019 | Bogota | Qualifying Round 1 | Beatriz Haddad Maia | 4-6, 6-2, 6-3 |
| Beatriz Haddad Maia | Category | Renata Zarazua |
| 27 | Current Ranking | 84 |
| 476-268 | Career W-L | 378-286 |
| 13-24 | YTD W-L | 21-26 |
| 4 | Career Titles | 0 |
| 0 | Grand Slams | 0 |
| 0 | YTD Titles | 0 |
Haddad Maia’s heavy serve and home-court rhythm should tilt the balance, but Zarazua’s resilience could stretch the contest longer than expected before Bia powers through.
Prediction: Beatriz Haddad Maia in straight sets
At 4/9, Haddad Maia is the clear favorite, with her consistency and firepower giving her the statistical edge over Zarazua, priced at 17/10 as the underdog.
Here are the betting odds according to BetMGM:
Beatriz Haddad Maia: 4/9
Renata Zarazua: 17/10
Here are the odds for total games as well as total sets for both players (sourced via BetMGM):
Total Sets Under 2.5: 13/25
Total Sets Over 2.5: 29/20
Total Games Under 23.5: 11/20
Total Game Over 23.5: 11/8
Maia Set 1 Winner: 8/15
Zarazua Set 1 Winner: 29/20
(According to BetMGM: BetMGM offers exclusive promo codes, bonus deals and accurate odds for users upon signing up. Use BetMGM to ace your betting game in all sports!)
Mandatory Image Credit: Geoff Burke-Imagn Images
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